Is TLT a safe and good bet right now?
2025.01.20 08:21 herbertisthefuture Is TLT a safe and good bet right now?
Take a step back and think about it: does the economy really feel as strong as everyone says? Are businesses around you thriving, or are they starting to slow down? If the economy is so solid, why is the Federal Reserve cutting rates? Sure, some people think the Fed is making a mistake, but what if they see something we don’t? With jobless claims rising and sales looking weak, it seems like the economy might not be as great as people think. Plus, the yield curve (the difference between short-term and long-term bond rates) is now "uninverted," which has always been a warning sign of a recession. It’s becoming clear that a slowdown is likely, and when that happens, investors typically rush to safer investments like U.S. Treasury Bonds.
Why TLT Could Be the Perfect Recession Play This is where TLT, the ETF that tracks long-term U.S. Treasury Bonds, comes in. When a recession hits and people start panicking, they tend to dump riskier assets (like stocks) and move their money into safe havens—like government bonds. When this happens, bond prices go up, and so does TLT, since it tracks those long-duration bonds. So, if the economy starts tanking, TLT could rally big time as investors flock to it.
So, Why Is TLT Down Right Now? Recently, TLT has struggled because long-term bond yields have been rising. This has been driven by more government debt and concerns about inflation (thanks to things like tariffs and political uncertainty). But are these concerns really that serious? With economies in Europe already slowing down, inflation might not be as much of a problem as people think. If inflation starts coming down and the Fed shifts its stance, demand for long-term bonds could shoot up—and that would benefit TLT. In fact, we’ve seen this play out before. During the 2008 financial crisis, bond yields fell, and TLT surged. The same thing could happen again.
The Big Upside in a Recession Scenario Here’s where it gets interesting. If we do end up in a recession, the Fed will likely pivot toward a more dovish stance. That means cutting rates and possibly even restarting quantitative easing (QE). When the Fed pushes bond yields lower, the price of bonds goes up—and that means TLT would rise too. In fact, it’s possible that TLT could rally 30-40% over the next year. For example, TLT’s 2027 $95 calls could see a 100%+ gain if the ETF hits $110 or more. That’s the kind of upside we could be looking at.
TLT Is Undervalued Right Now While everyone is distracted by tech stocks and crypto, TLT is quietly setting up for a huge move. It’s an overlooked opportunity right now. People are so focused on the current market euphoria, but when that optimism fades and recession fears take over, TLT could be a big winner. The time to pay attention to TLT is now—before the sentiment shifts and investors start scrambling for safety.
TLT as a Risk Management Tool TLT isn’t just a good recession hedge—it’s also a way to stabilize your portfolio. If you’re holding riskier assets, TLT can help balance things out. In previous recessions (like 2008 and 2020), TLT provided a safe haven while stocks tanked. Even if you're taking on higher risk in other parts of your portfolio, TLT can provide some much-needed protection when the market turns south.
The Bottom Line Right now, everyone is chasing high-flying tech stocks and ignoring TLT. But when the market shifts, and the economy slows down, TLT could be ready for a massive rally—30% or more. If you’re looking for a solid hedge against a potential recession, TLT is a hidden opportunity that’s flying under the radar.
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2025.01.20 08:21 MustaKotka Increased activity on Discord / re-launch / invite link
The jankEDH Discord invite link We've seen some increased activity on the Discord, which was due to be shut down entirely. I decided to not shut it down, instead, I'll give it a shot here once more.
Also welcome our new subreddit / Discord moderator! They're known as CptComatose on Discord and as u/CaptainComatose here on Reddit! I'm handing them the day-to-day operations on Discord. I will continue to manage the subreddit like before.
See you there! submitted by MustaKotka to jankEDH [link] [comments]
2025.01.20 08:21 Wxrgz Join this new discord server packed with GT7 Content N' more
This server has many channels for members to share amazing clips, chat, explore and have a fun time while playing and streaming Gran turismo! For more info Join the server: https://discord.gg/gCbH87EV8g
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2025.01.20 08:21 wankerzoo My Community Will Remember the Biden Administration for One Thing: Genocide | In less than a year, more than a dozen U.S. officials publicly resigned in protest of Biden's policy on Israel-Palestine. I was one of them.
 | submitted by wankerzoo to EndlessWar [link] [comments] |
2025.01.20 08:21 True-Tomorrow1042 ¿¿Instagram 🙄?? “Sugestiones”
La situación está así, yo estaba acostada hablando con Gemini en diferentes idiomas, mi novio estaba enfrente mío pero en el escritorio, de momento me habla y me dice “está hablando con tu nuevo novio”, ignore lo que dije, y le pregunté “¿dijiste algo?”, él se levantó de la silla y se acercó hacia mí y se acostó a mi lado, y me hizo la misma pregunta, le respondí que NO, que cuál era el problema si estudiaba idiomas, la conversación se tornó un poco en conflicto… en fin. Tome mi laptop y me puse a ver las carpetas que tenía y me metí a “movies” eran videos míos y me entretuve viéndome a mí misma jeje, de momento me recargué y vi que él estaba viendo Instagram… entonces me quedé viendo un rato los reels que le aparecían!!!
La mayoría de reels eran de chicas, chicas en traje de baño, chicas enseñando el cvlo literalmente, chicas en ropa interior, por donde fuera había mujeres!!!! Chicas bailando, chicas solo en calzones 🤯!!!
Me moleste y le pregunté porque le aparecía eso, y su respuesta fue “no lo sé, Instagram me pone esto”, “Instagram escucha nuestra conversación y me pone mujeres”, pero él siguió viendo este tipo de videos… Incluso se quedaba viendo los videos conmigo ahí a lado 🤡, a mi nunca me han salido hombres casi desnudos ni nada por el estilo. Pero él me dice “yo no sé porque me aparece esto” y me empieza hablar como burlándose y dice “oh que interesante, yo quiero escuchar que dice”, casi que parece pornhub su Instagram y él mismo lo dijo…
Le dije muéstrame, y me metí a ver sus guardados o cosas que el le da like, pero no hay mujeres, más que sus “conocidas” que incluso me moleste porque stalkeo a varias chicas y les dio like a unas fotos del 2023-2022 :/ … le pregunté porque lo hizo, su respuesta “porque quiero y porque puedo”, yo entendería si estas fotos son recientes, pero son de hace años!!!!! ¿Porque? ¿Porqueeee???!!!!!!!!!!!
Bueno volviendo a los reels, ¿porque aparecen este tipo de videos? No ha dado like a este tipo de videos ni tiene en sus “guardados” nada similar a esto, incluso si le presiona en el buscador🔍 solo aparecen videos de animales y de hombres haciendo deporte.
Y justo yo eh guardado videos de chicas haciendo yoga o guardo videos de ejercicios de chicas, y las chicas me aparecen en el buscador 🔍 , incluso también guardo muchos post de poesía y lo mismo me aparece en 🔍.
Y nada, alguien sabe porque pasa esto??? Quiero alguna explicación, porque el no me la da, pero a mí “explicación”, es que Instagram le da lo que el más consume, y le dije, es porque tú te quedas viendo este tipo de videos, y yo me eh dado cuenta de eso, siempre que aparece un chico hablando u otras cosas el pasa derecho, pero si aparece una chica él se queda viendo😐.
Ya le dije que no me gusta que haga eso, pero no le importa, incluso le digo yo no hago cosas que te molestarían o al menos no lo que yo no quiero que me hagan.
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2025.01.20 08:21 jolly_peachmangopie Pulse Oximeter Recommendations
Hello po, Docs! Any pulse oximeter recommendations po? Yung sa Shopee sana nabibili and link na din po. Salamat!
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2025.01.20 08:21 Have_no_life16 Baby Malleus 🐉
I saw something on Insta and immediately thought of drawing Malleus like that 😭🙏 Lilia definitely captured that moment
submitted by Have_no_life16 to TwistedWonderland [link] [comments]
2025.01.20 08:21 MustaKotka Increased activity on Discord / re-launch / invite link
The jankEDH Discord invite link We've seen some increased activity on the Discord, which was due to be shut down entirely. I decided to not shut it down, instead, I'll give it a shot here once more.
Also welcome our new subreddit / Discord moderator! They're known as CptComatose on Discord and as u/CaptainComatose here on Reddit! I'm handing them the day-to-day operations on Discord. I will continue to manage the subreddit like before.
See you there! submitted by MustaKotka to jankEDH [link] [comments]
2025.01.20 08:21 Lazhaber Gençlerde ‘cep boyun hastalığı’ tehlikesi
 | submitted by Lazhaber to Lazhaber [link] [comments] |
2025.01.20 08:21 nebyawanud Is there place in Anc or the valley that I can sell used tires. I know I can put on facebook, but I dont want to deal with the hassle. Is there a business that buys them?
title
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2025.01.20 08:21 SDiggatron Should I switch gyms?
My goal is competing in MMA however im having some doubts about my current gym. My current gym is an mma gym however theyre more focused on boxing/muay thai. They have a few students who are national champs and active fighters in boxing and muay thai however there are no active mma fighters besides the 2 mma coaches. I have been training here consistently for about a year and I got a few boxing matches in but as im transitioning into MMA im starting to think about if im getting the proper training in. We have 2 MMA classes a week where at most 6 people show up. There are a few gyms near me where they have good active mma fighters competing. I do train at home with my brother (hes a bit younger than me) we practice things from class or instructionals. I have built a good relationship with my coaches so thats pretty much the main deterrent from me switching gyms. Do you think it would be worthwhile to switch or is the grass not greener on the other side
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2025.01.20 08:21 SkyDreader I'm stuck at the new war quest
How do I grind fast or can someone help me?
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2025.01.20 08:21 Principal-Moo What would you do with 3,500 gold?
I'm a new player. I purchased 90 days of premium and 3,500 gold. I know it's not a lot of gold, but I'm wondering what you would do with it if you were a new player starting again? Would you immediately start buying and selling? Go straight into dungeons? How would you use this "gift" to get yourself going in AO?
I like to do all aspects of the game, but not good at pvp (yet).
submitted by Principal-Moo to albiononline [link] [comments]
2025.01.20 08:21 KakashiHatake0000 I might be cooked
I'm stuck in my hometown as all my tickets in train got cancelled in waiting list, my soft skills attendance has dropped below 75 what can I do now ? I have 9 point but according to some people the attendance relaxation only applies after second semsem ?? Can anyone say for sure ??
submitted by KakashiHatake0000 to Vit [link] [comments]
2025.01.20 08:21 ojs69 Lucknow Millionaire Tour tickets
GA seating, below cost (Duo ticket)
DM!
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2025.01.20 08:21 Lazhaber Umut çocukları ünlü sanatçıyı unutmadı
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2025.01.20 08:21 stetoha Hello Youtube
Please comment and subscribe to https://youtu.be/1hl9bpoW1Yk
Watch for at least 5 minutes before subscribing, otherwise it won’t be recognized by Youtube
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2025.01.20 08:21 Warm-Echo5540 "🚀 $ZAI Launch on BingX: Join the Carnival & Win Rewards! 🤖"
Exciting news! $ZAI is launching on BingX Spot with a 5M reward pool. Get ready!
.#ZAIListingCarnival #AIRevolution #BingXSpot #CryptoRewards #ZenCoinCommunity
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2025.01.20 08:21 StringFast353 Help?
⚠️Readers please acknowledge some of this content may be hard to read. I have a question, but I don't want to be disrespectful and I don't mean to set off any triggers. I tried to write this without including too much details. I apologize before hand if this is uncomfortable. I don't mean any bad intentions.Thank you.⚠️
Hello! I'm a 20 yr old trans guy, ftm and bisexual, I haven't yet fully transitioned, I have really only changed my name. I have a question and I thought this community would be able to help.
I live with my boyfriend (22), we've been together for 2 years.
Recently, he's told me that he's been feeling like he wants some more things done to him in bed. (He and I haven't done much, as before we moved in with each other, he'd stay at my old place on weekends and he'd express this to me. I would let him touch me in all areas of my body) I have come to a realization that when things are being done to me, I don't hate it but I also don't necessarily love it. I tell him when he needs to stop, and where not to touch, and he respects my boundaries. The same thing is when I'm doing things to him. I don't hate it, but I don't love it.
Sometimes, I feel stressed out and disgusted when we're done. We haven't gotten very far in doing things because I am also scared of doing things.
He and I have discussed this. Because sometimes I feel things in my nether regions, but I don't necessarily enjoy the feeling. Most of the time, I just feel neutral in doing things. I'm not scared or stressed about getting preg, as I have a medical condition and I can't get preg. And I do feel attracted to him.
I'm just confused because I'm not sure I'm that makes me ace? I'm very sorry if this was uncomfortable, I just wanted to see if I could get answers. Thank you for reading.
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2025.01.20 08:21 YouSecret6775 No development?
I just got the game off gamepass yesterday and I am HOOKED. Yes the pun was intended. But wow, great game. I got on here and saw they're ending the development? Do we know when? Will we still get to play offline afterwards or are they completely shutting down?
submitted by YouSecret6775 to COTWTheAngler [link] [comments]
2025.01.20 08:21 TheOakinator101 First time drawing sonic in years so why not make a meme outta him
 | "All my green hill opps hating" is what he's saying in the image submitted by TheOakinator101 to SonicTheHedgehog [link] [comments] |
2025.01.20 08:21 Lazhaber 20 Tonluk tır köprüden düştü: 2 yaralı
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2025.01.20 08:21 MainOutlandishness72 NYU personal history essay
Those who got accepted into Masters program at Tandon did you guys write the optional essay?
View Poll
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2025.01.20 08:21 heavensdumptruck Best nursery rhyme for old people instead of kids!
Old Mc lder had a fall; and no H.M.O.
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2025.01.20 08:21 justanotherfreak0000 not an artist
 | i was told to try writing down my feelings and this is what i come up with submitted by justanotherfreak0000 to ventart [link] [comments] |