I asked AI a follow-up question about Canada Post and wage demands. Here's what it said.

2024.11.25 17:50 ReviseResubmitRepeat I asked AI a follow-up question about Canada Post and wage demands. Here's what it said.

I asked a follow-up question to AI. Here's what it said about the wage demands and what will happen to the company. The prompt is immediately below. This is what you ask AI to get it do the analysis:
Given this analysis, what will happen to profitability and the sustainability of this company if the company provides a wage raise over the next 4 years, assuming that it does nothing else differently? If the company gives a 14% raise over the next 4 years, what will happen in that case? How can this company offer competitive prices in the courier market with its current infrastructure if it decides to stay with its current model, and will it still lose money?
Nov 25, 12:43:10 PMJJulius
Let me analyze this step by step using the financial data. I'll calculate the impact of the wage increase and its effects on profitability.
Code Explanation This code snippet calculates and visualizes the additional annual losses incurred due to a 14% wage increase spread over four years, based on current financial metrics.
Code Output Show 3 outputs

{… } 1 Items 
Based on the analysis, here's what will happen if the company implements a 14% wage increase over 4 years without any other changes:
Impact of 14% Wage Increase Over 4 Years:
Optional: Click on columns or rows to focus on specific dataExport
Year Cumulative Wage Increase % Additional Annual Loss (M$)
0 1 3.5 18.27
1 2 7.12 37.18
2 3 10.87 56.75
3 4 14.75 77
The table shows how the wage increases compound each year, leading to progressively larger losses. By year 4, the cumulative wage increase reaches 14.75% (slightly higher than 14% due to compounding), resulting in $77 million in additional annual losses.
Want better charts? View in interactive modeInteractiveStatic
The graph illustrates the accelerating nature of these losses over the four-year period.
Total Additional Cumulative Loss Over 4 Years: $189.19 million
Impact Analysis:
  1. Financial Sustainability
  1. Competitive Position in Courier Market With the current model and proposed wage increase:
  1. Projected Outcome Without any other changes, implementing this wage increase would:
  1. Market Competitiveness The company cannot offer competitive prices in the courier market under these conditions because:
To maintain operations while implementing such a wage increase, the company would need to:
The conclusion is that implementing a 14% wage increase without other structural changes would accelerate the company's path to insolvency. The company would not be able to offer competitive prices in the courier market and would continue to lose market share to more efficient competitors. The current model is unsustainable even without wage increases; adding significant labor costs without corresponding efficiency improvements or revenue growth would only hasten the financial decline.
For context, competitors in the courier market typically operate with:
Without fundamental changes to the business model, infrastructure, and operational efficiency, the company cannot sustainably compete in the courier market or support wage increases of this magnitude.
Based on the financial projections, the company faces an existential crisis if it proceeds with wage increases without fundamental restructuring. The math shows the current model is unsustainable - adding $189.19M in wage-related losses to an already significant deficit of $803M would accelerate the path to insolvency.
What specific aspect of the company's transformation would you like to analyze further? We could:
How should I continue?
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